Umbreon Promo
SimulatedUmbreon Promo · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Promo · 117/207
Character: Umbreon
Price History
Opportunity Score
50- 18% below fair value+21 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Sales accelerating+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral50Umbreon Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-2.2%). Estimated fair value is $343 against a lowest active listing of $282. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 337.01 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 319.65 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 330.67 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.5 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $299 | PWCC | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $304 | eBay | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $273 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $307 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $298 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $329 | eBay | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $293 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $304 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $299 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $331 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $299 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $301 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 23d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $659 | $556 | 15.7% | 12.0% | 22 | 50 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $288 | $252 | 12.2% | 11.6% | 22 | 39 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,569 | $1,357 | 13.6% | 2.4% | 23 | 51 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $277 | $220 | 20.5% | 23.8% | 20 | 42 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $557 | $497 | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15 | 52 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $409 | $354 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 8 | 47 |