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Umbreon Promo

Simulated

Umbreon Promo · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Promo · 117/207

Character: Umbreon

high confidenceneutral5030d 2.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$343
Lowest listing $28217.8% below
Bear Case
$298
Base Case
$343
Bull Case
$387

Price History

Dec 2Range $186$338May 30

Opportunity Score

50
  • 18% below fair value+21 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral50

Umbreon Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-2.2%). Estimated fair value is $343 against a lowest active listing of $282. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
7.0
Velocity Score
35/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+17.5%
Confidence
94/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps337.0150%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices319.6525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection330.6725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$274eBayNear Mint9619d agoJan 1View
$286eBayNear Mint8820d agoJan 1View
$290PWCCNear Mint9415d agoJan 1View
$305TCGPlayerNear Mint9913d agoJan 1View
$310eBayNear Mint7410d agoJan 1View
$310eBayNear Mint609d agoJan 1View
$311TCGPlayerNear Mint708d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$299PWCCNear Mint2d ago
$304eBayNear Mint3d ago
$273Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint3d ago
$307eBayNear Mint7d ago
$298eBayNear Mint7d ago
$329eBayNear Mint8d ago
$293TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$304TCGPlayerNear Mint16d ago
$299TCGPlayerNear Mint20d ago
$331TCGPlayerNear Mint21d ago
$299TCGPlayerNear Mint22d ago
$301TCGPlayerNear Mint23d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 16% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$659$55615.7%12.0%2250
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
$288$25212.2%11.6%2239
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,569$1,35713.6%2.4%2351
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 21% below fair value+24 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$277$22020.5%23.8%2042
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$557$49710.7%12.6%1552
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$409$35413.3%3.1%847