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Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) · Neo Genesis · Alt Art · 68/111

Character: Umbreon

high confidencebearish3530d 11.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,422
Lowest listing $1,24212.7% below
Bear Case
$1,199
Base Case
$1,422
Bull Case
$1,638

Price History

Dec 2Range $1.3K$2.0KMay 30

Opportunity Score

39
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish35

Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-11.7%). Estimated fair value is $1422 against a lowest active listing of $1242. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-11.7% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
9
Sales / Month
14.0
Velocity Score
70/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-2.3%
Confidence
95/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1466.1350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1442.2625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1339.5925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.4620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,230eBayNear Mint8811d agoJan 1View
$1,261PWCCNear Mint702d agoJan 1View
$1,319MercariNear Mint774d agoJun 2View
$1,365MercariNear Mint6816d agoJan 1View
$1,471TCGPlayerNear Mint7420d agoJan 1View
$1,473PWCCNear Mint8817d agoJan 1View
$1,493MercariNear Mint733d agoJan 1View
$1,503PWCCNear Mint6814d agoJan 1View
$1,507MercariNear Mint6817d agoJan 1View
$1,526MercariNear Mint8122h agoJun 2View
$1,537Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7522h agoJun 3View
$1,569Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint839d agoMay 31View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$1,483eBayNear Mint2d ago
$1,365MercariNear Mint4d ago
$1,321TCGPlayerNear Mint6d ago
$1,381PWCCNear Mint7d ago
$1,324TCGPlayerNear Mint8d ago
$1,423PWCCNear Mint8d ago
$1,416TCGPlayerNear Mint11d ago
$1,558PWCCNear Mint13d ago
$1,728TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$1,548PWCCNear Mint15d ago
$1,604PWCCNear Mint20d ago
$1,700TCGPlayerNear Mint21d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$535$46513.1%14.0%1946
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$385$3587.1%11.1%742
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
  • 24% below fair value+28 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$361$27424.0%15.1%770