Pikachu Secret Rare
SimulatedPikachu Secret Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Secret Rare · 106/207
Character: Pikachu
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 8% below fair value+10 pts
- Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish100Pikachu Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+22.1%). Estimated fair value is $363 against a lowest active listing of $332. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+22.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 340.6 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 392.05 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 351.81 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.86 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $353 | Mercari | Near Mint | 1d ago |
| $310 | PWCC | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $322 | PWCC | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $309 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $302 | Mercari | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $347 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $331 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $307 | eBay | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $325 | PWCC | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $343 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $352 | Mercari | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $349 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 26d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $689 | $621 | 9.8% | 3.6% | 8 | 44 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $258 | $225 | 12.9% | 4.4% | 5 | 50 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $599 | $546 | 8.8% | 5.8% | 20 | 45 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $254 | $215 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 11 | 49 |
Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $238 | $197 | 17.4% | 3.4% | 9 | 44 |
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $509 | $404 | 20.6% | 10.0% | 19 | 53 |