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Pikachu Secret Rare

Simulated

Pikachu Secret Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Secret Rare · 106/207

Character: Pikachu

high confidencebullish10030d 22.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$363
Lowest listing $3328.5% below
Bear Case
$315
Base Case
$363
Bull Case
$412

Price History

Dec 2Range $302$424May 30

Opportunity Score

45
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish100

Pikachu Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+22.1%). Estimated fair value is $363 against a lowest active listing of $332. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+22.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
19.5
Velocity Score
98/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+9.3%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps340.650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices392.0525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection351.8125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.8620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$306PWCCNear Mint6716d agoJan 1View
$342PWCCNear Mint7418d agoJan 1View
$355MercariNear Mint8020d agoJan 1View
$386Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9511d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$353MercariNear Mint1d ago
$310PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$322PWCCNear Mint4d ago
$309Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9d ago
$302MercariNear Mint14d ago
$347TCGPlayerNear Mint15d ago
$331TCGPlayerNear Mint17d ago
$307eBayNear Mint19d ago
$325PWCCNear Mint22d ago
$343TCGPlayerNear Mint23d ago
$352MercariNear Mint23d ago
$349TCGPlayerNear Mint26d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
$689$6219.8%3.6%844
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
$258$22512.9%4.4%550
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$599$5468.8%5.8%2045
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
$254$21515.4%10.5%1149
Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$238$19717.4%3.4%944
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 21% below fair value+24 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$509$40420.6%10.0%1953