Venusaur VMAX (Alt Art)
CGC 9SimulatedVenusaur VMAX (Alt Art) · Hidden Fates · Alt Art · 70/163
Character: Venusaur
Price History
Opportunity Score
42- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish40Venusaur VMAX (Alt Art) (CGC 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.3%). Estimated fair value is $415 against a lowest active listing of $367. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-5.3% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.9%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 418.64 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 435.67 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 396.29 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.95 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.59 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $395 | Mercari | Graded | 71 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $399 | eBay | Graded | 62 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $402 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 77 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $420 | PWCC | Graded | 84 | 1d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $423 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 97 | 3d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $424 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 86 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $451 | eBay | Graded | 96 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $452 | PWCC | Graded | 66 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $483 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 80 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $487 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 90 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $490 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 91 | 1d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $494 | eBay | Graded | 73 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $444 | eBay | Graded | 4d ago |
| $432 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 5d ago |
| $465 | PWCC | Graded | 7d ago |
| $430 | Mercari | Graded | 13d ago |
| $441 | PWCC | Graded | 15d ago |
| $391 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 17d ago |
| $392 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 18d ago |
| $336 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 28d ago |
| $381 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 35d ago |
| $440 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 45d ago |
| $377 | Mercari | Graded | 45d ago |
| $418 | eBay | Graded | 47d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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