Gengar Secret Rare
SimulatedGengar Secret Rare · Neo Genesis · Secret Rare · 98/111
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
37- 11% below fair value+13 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish31Gengar Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-14.3%). Estimated fair value is $1243 against a lowest active listing of $1100. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-14.3% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1254.67 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1329.21 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1147.32 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.31 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,469 | Mercari | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $1,244 | eBay | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $1,335 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $1,180 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $1,271 | eBay | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $1,228 | PWCC | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $1,186 | Mercari | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $1,360 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $1,202 | PWCC | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $1,147 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $1,248 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $1,231 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 22d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $357 | $325 | 8.9% | 7.8% | 18 | 44 |
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
| $1,255 | $987 | 21.3% | 33.1% | 18 | 51 |
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $672 | $629 | 6.4% | 0.2% | 17 | 34 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,469 | $1,435 | 2.3% | 17.9% | 5 | 35 |
Gengar ex (Special Illustration)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $268 | $219 | 18.2% | 1.7% | 18 | 49 |
Gengar Secret RareHidden FatesCGC 9.5Simulated
| $468 | $377 | 19.3% | 12.2% | 9 | 56 |