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Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art) · Base Set · Alt Art · 50/102

Character: Gyarados

high confidencebearish2630d 12.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$769
Lowest listing $64016.8% below
Bear Case
$646
Base Case
$769
Bull Case
$890

Price History

Dec 2Range $619 – $1.0KMay 30

Opportunity Score

40
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish26

Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-12.7%). Estimated fair value is $769 against a lowest active listing of $640. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-12.7% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
18
Sales / Month
5.0
Velocity Score
25/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+1.9%
Confidence
76/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps779.3950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices754.4425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection752.1825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.3720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$876TCGPlayerNear Mint746d agoJan 1View
$898eBayNear Mint8316d agoJan 1View
$909Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint947d agoJan 1View
$913eBayNear Mint967d agoJan 1View
$921eBayNear Mint973d agoJan 1View
$948eBayNear Mint6915d agoJan 1View
$1,015TCGPlayerNear Mint787d agoJan 1View
$1,034TCGPlayerNear Mint7423h agoJan 1View
$1,068Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8014d agoMay 31View
$1,082TCGPlayerNear Mint622d agoJan 1View
$1,102TCGPlayerNear Mint776d agoJan 1View
$1,104eBayNear Mint8921d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$975PWCCNear Mint4d ago
$971PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$1,099Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6d ago
$988PWCCNear Mint9d ago
$1,015eBayNear Mint10d ago
$972PWCCNear Mint10d ago
$981PWCCNear Mint12d ago
$907eBayNear Mint14d ago
$1,008MercariNear Mint20d ago
$893Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint24d ago
$774eBayNear Mint29d ago
$838eBayNear Mint30d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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