Dragonite Promo
PSA 9SimulatedDragonite Promo · XY Evolutions · Promo · 107/108
Character: Dragonite
Price History
Opportunity Score
56- 14% below fair value+17 pts
- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish83Dragonite Promo (PSA 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+14.1%). Estimated fair value is $300 against a lowest active listing of $257. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+14.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.3%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 289.54 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 298.71 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 294.28 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.15 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.55 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $219 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 60 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $220 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 69 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $234 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 91 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $246 | Mercari | Graded | 72 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $249 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 80 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $250 | PWCC | Graded | 68 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $251 | PWCC | Graded | 76 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $270 | eBay | Graded | 94 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $274 | Mercari | Graded | 65 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $253 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 15h ago |
| $214 | eBay | Graded | 2d ago |
| $213 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 6d ago |
| $206 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 9d ago |
| $216 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 9d ago |
| $200 | Mercari | Graded | 10d ago |
| $182 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 15d ago |
| $199 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 17d ago |
| $232 | Mercari | Graded | 23d ago |
| $250 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 24d ago |
| $237 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 24d ago |
| $225 | eBay | Graded | 25d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $676 | $575 | 15.0% | 2.3% | 21 | 45 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $267 | $244 | 8.9% | 2.5% | 9 | 40 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $1,026 | $983 | 4.2% | 25.4% | 15 | 35 |
Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,078 | $947 | 12.2% | 2.7% | 23 | 37 |
Charizard ex (Special Illustration)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $630 | $571 | 9.3% | 3.3% | 3 | 52 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
| $1,207 | $1,033 | 14.4% | 2.6% | 19 | 49 |