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Gardevoir ex (Illustration Rare) card artwork

Gardevoir ex (Illustration Rare)

BGS 10Simulated

Gardevoir ex (Illustration Rare) · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Illustration Rare · 40/109

Character: Gardevoir

high confidencebullish8430d ▲27.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$617
Lowest listing $6051.9% below
Bear Case
$526
Base Case
$617
Bull Case
$711

Price History

Dec 2Range $472 – $760May 30

Opportunity Score

40
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Price up 27% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • 2% below fair value+2 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish84

Gardevoir ex (Illustration Rare) (BGS 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+27.3%). Estimated fair value is $617 against a lowest active listing of $605. Valuation confidence is high based on 12-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+27.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.2%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
12
Sales / Month
6.5
Velocity Score
33/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.7%
Total Graded
1,923
Gem Mint
1,111
Population Growth
+5.2%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps551.6850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices716.0125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection609.9425%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.6250%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.3420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$532MercariGraded924d agoJan 1View
$567PWCCGraded9816d agoJan 1View
$615Facebook MarketplaceGraded9012d agoJan 1View
$621PWCCGraded8916d agoJan 1View
$631PWCCGraded8715d agoJan 1View
$648TCGPlayerGraded747d agoJan 1View
$652MercariGraded641d agoJan 1View
$658MercariGraded6815d agoJun 4View
$670eBayGraded841d agoJan 1View
$671MercariGraded7220d agoJan 1View
$672eBayGraded859d agoJan 1View
$678PWCCGraded823d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$558eBayGraded10h ago
$595MercariGraded13h ago
$538TCGPlayerGraded1d ago
$588PWCCGraded3d ago
$582eBayGraded7d ago
$523TCGPlayerGraded8d ago
$494PWCCGraded9d ago
$520TCGPlayerGraded10d ago
$488TCGPlayerGraded10d ago
$556TCGPlayerGraded12d ago
$654eBayGraded18d ago
$597Facebook MarketplaceGraded19d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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