Price History
Opportunity Score
53- 16% below fair value+19 pts
- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish18Gyarados V (Full Art) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-21.9%). Estimated fair value is $386 against a lowest active listing of $323. Valuation confidence is medium based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-21.9% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 378.94 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 369.48 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 335.99 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.43 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $333 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $391 | eBay | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $367 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $350 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $324 | Mercari | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $312 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $339 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $351 | eBay | Near Mint | 41d ago |
| $400 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 48d ago |
| $350 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 51d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
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Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
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Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
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Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
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