
Venomoth (PSA 9) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-13.6%). Estimated fair value is $67 against a lowest active listing of $56. Valuation confidence is medium based on 23-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-13.6% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 4.4%/mo — steady supply across 3678 graded.
3,678 graded · 55% gem · +4.4%/mo
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Showing 15 of 15 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 70.63 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 63.99 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 60.89 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.64 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.65 | 20% |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $191 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 76 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $195 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 76 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $220 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 80 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $226 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 95 | 67d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $229 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 66 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $237 | eBay | Graded | 68 | 64d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $247 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 95 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $203 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 55d ago |
| $200 | PWCC | Graded | 55d ago |
| $220 | PWCC | Graded | 59d ago |
| $252 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 67d ago |
| $241 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 69d ago |
| $277 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 73d ago |
| $243 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 76d ago |
| $236 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 81d ago |
| $237 | PWCC | Graded | 82d ago |
| $216 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 85d ago |
| $201 | Mercari | Graded | 90d ago |
| $212 | PWCC | Graded | 92d ago |
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() PikachuJungleSimulated
| $51,034 | $42,886 | 16.0% | 17.0% | 7 | 48 |
![]() SnorlaxJunglePSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $136 · sales-derived, ungradedView $72.75 · TCGPlayer
| $290 | $172 | 40.7% | 8.9% | 1 | 70 |
![]() SnorlaxJungleSimulated
| $10,835 | $8,603 | 20.6% | 13.2% | 22 | 50 |
![]() VenomothScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $110 | $90.75 | 17.5% | 11.9% | 17 | 47 |
![]() PrimeapeJungleSimulated
| $164 | $142 | 13.6% | 4.6% | 13 | 51 |
![]() VictreebelJungleSimulated
| $297 | $276 | 6.9% | 57.9% | 15 | 49 |